Agricultural liberalization policy and commodity price volatility: a GARCH application

Volatility and Commodity Price Dynamics

Commodity prices tend to be volatile, and volatility itself varies over time. Changes in volatility can affect market variables by directly affecting the marginal value of storage, and by affecting a component of the total marginal cost of production: the opportunity cost of exercising the option to produce the commodity now rather than waiting for more price information. I examine the role of ...

Commodity Price Volatility and Nutrition Vulnerability

vi 1. Motivation and Introduction 1 2. Overview of the Analytical Framework 3 3. Data and Methodology 6

The Impacts of Agricultural Liberalization on Commodity Price Distributions: Evidence from Madagascar*

Commodity Price Volatility across Exchange Rate Regimes

This paper documents a new " stylized fact " regarding commodity prices using alternative datasets covering the period from 1880 to 1996: The volatility of real commodity prices, defined as nominal commodity prices deflated by the manufacturing unit value index, is higher under flexible-exchange rate regimes than fixed-exchange rate regimes. Furthermore, changes in exchange regime are associate...

Dairy Policy and Price Volatility

The US dairy industry is shaped by a patchwork of regulations accumulated over a long history of intervention to achieve various, sometimes conflicting, policy goals. Price supports have long been a central feature of dairy markets, but were largely withdrawn beginning in 1988. Since that time, there has been a dramatic increase in the variability of farm milk and milk product prices. The origi...